Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hannover
Bayern Munich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | +59 | 75 |
| 2 |
Schalke 04
|
30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +14 | 55 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 51 |
| 4 |
Dortmund
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +16 | 51 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
M'gladbach
|
31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 |
Hertha
|
30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | +0 | 39 |
| 10 |
Stuttgart
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -8 | 39 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 |
Hannover
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 14 |
Wolfsburg
|
31 | 5 | 15 | 11 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 |
Freiburg
|
30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -24 | 30 |
| 17 |
Hamburg
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -25 | 22 |
| 18 |
FC Koln
|
30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -29 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Füllkrug
F
Coach: A. Breitenreiter
S. Ulreich
G
Juan Bernat
D
L. Mai
D
Coach: J. Heynckes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stuttgart
Hannover
Hannover
Werder Bremen
Hannover
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Hannover
Hannover
Augsburg
Martin Petersen · 29 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.