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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Alaves

U S S T S

0–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 50%

38%

62%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

47%

35%

Both score Ø 34%

38%

29%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,4

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Alaves 13. · Ath Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	33	25	8	0	+64	83
2	Ath Madrid	34	21	9	4	+36	72
3	Real Madrid	34	21	8	5	+45	71
4	Valencia	34	20	6	8	+26	66
5	Betis	34	17	5	12	+1	56
6	Villarreal	34	16	6	12	+8	54
7	Getafe	35	13	10	12	+8	49
8	Girona	35	13	9	13	-6	48
9	Sevilla	34	14	6	14	-12	48
10	Sociedad	35	13	7	15	+8	46
11	Celta	35	12	9	14	+3	45
12	Eibar	34	12	7	15	-10	43
13	Alaves	34	13	2	19	-13	41
14	Ath Bilbao	35	9	13	13	-7	40
15	Espanol	35	9	13	13	-12	40
16	Leganes	35	11	7	17	-14	40
17	Levante	35	9	13	13	-16	40
18	La Coruna	34	6	10	18	-33	28
19	Las Palmas	35	5	7	23	-47	22
20	Malaga	34	5	5	24	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	2	0	+37	44
2	Ath Madrid	17	12	5	0	+24	41
3	Valencia	17	12	2	3	+19	38
4	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+28	37
5	Villarreal	17	10	2	5	+12	32
6	Getafe	18	9	4	5	+14	31
7	Sociedad	18	9	3	6	+17	30
8	Betis	17	9	3	5	+3	30
9	Sevilla	16	8	5	3	+6	29
10	Celta	17	7	7	3	+9	28
11	Leganes	17	8	4	5	+2	28
12	Girona	17	8	3	6	+8	27
13	Espanol	18	7	6	5	+1	27
14	Eibar	18	7	4	7	+6	25
15	Alaves	17	8	1	8	-3	25
16	Levante	18	6	6	6	-4	24
17	Ath Bilbao	17	5	8	4	+2	23
18	La Coruna	17	4	6	7	-7	18
19	Malaga	17	4	3	10	-9	15
20	Las Palmas	17	4	2	11	-21	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	6	0	+27	39
2	Real Madrid	16	10	4	2	+17	34
3	Ath Madrid	17	9	4	4	+12	31
4	Valencia	17	8	4	5	+7	28
5	Betis	17	8	2	7	-2	26
6	Villarreal	17	6	4	7	-4	22
7	Girona	18	5	6	7	-14	21
8	Sevilla	18	6	1	11	-18	19
9	Getafe	17	4	6	7	-6	18
10	Eibar	16	5	3	8	-16	18
11	Celta	18	5	2	11	-6	17
12	Ath Bilbao	18	4	5	9	-9	17
13	Sociedad	17	4	4	9	-9	16
14	Alaves	17	5	1	11	-10	16
15	Levante	17	3	7	7	-12	16
16	Espanol	17	2	7	8	-13	13
17	Leganes	18	3	3	12	-16	12
18	La Coruna	17	2	4	11	-26	10
19	Las Palmas	18	1	5	12	-26	8
20	Malaga	17	1	2	14	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.