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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Valencia
S S T S U
0–0
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
5,0
Scored
1,5
3,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 7. · Ath Madrid 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Leganes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Real Madrid 3 1 2 0 +3 5
5 Levante 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 Valencia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Girona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Betis 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 La Coruna 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Malaga 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Villarreal 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Las Palmas 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Ath Madrid
Martín Montoya 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 N. Gaitán
↦ Y. Carrasco
Gonçalo Guedes 🔁
↦ Andreas Pereira
61′
65′
🔁 Fernando Torres
↦ L. Vietto
Santi Mina 🔁
↦ Rodrigo
70′
72′
🔁 K. Gameiro
↦ Á. Correa
J. Murillo 🔁
↦ E. Garay
74′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
21 Martín Montoya D
14 José Gayá D
10 Dani Parejo M
16 G. Kondogbia M
11 Andreas Pereira M
18 Carlos Soler M
9 S. Zaza F
19 Rodrigo F
Bench (7)
7 Gonçalo Guedes
22 Santi Mina
4 J. Murillo
1 Jaume Doménech
6 N. Maksimović
26 Toni Lato
30 Nacho Vidal

Coach: Marcelino

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
15 S. Savić D
19 L. Hernández D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
10 Y. Carrasco M
5 T. Partey M
17 L. Vietto F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
22 N. Gaitán
9 Fernando Torres
21 K. Gameiro
1 Moyà
2 D. Godín
14 Gabi
24 J. Giménez

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.