La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valencia
Eibar
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 | +64 | 83 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | +37 | 75 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | +45 | 71 |
| 4 |
Valencia
|
34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | +26 | 66 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | +1 | 56 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +8 | 54 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | +8 | 49 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 |
Sevilla
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 48 |
| 10 |
Sociedad
|
35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | +8 | 46 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | +3 | 45 |
| 12 |
Eibar
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 43 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
35 | 13 | 2 | 20 | -14 | 41 |
| 14 |
Ath Bilbao
|
35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | -12 | 40 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | -16 | 40 |
| 18 |
La Coruna
|
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -33 | 28 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
35 | 5 | 7 | 23 | -47 | 22 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -29 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
José Gayá
D
G. Kondogbia
M
Gonçalo Guedes
M
Carlos Soler
M
Coach: Marcelino
Dani García
M
Rubén Peña
D
Coach: Mendilibar
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Celta
Valencia
Valencia
Getafe
Barcelona
Valencia
Valencia
Espanol
Leganes
Valencia
Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.