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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Valladolid
U
0–1
Full-time
Barcelona
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,0
4,8
Scored
0,0
3,2
Conceded
0,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 14. · Barcelona 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Getafe 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Celta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Valladolid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Leganes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Alaves 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Betis 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Eibar 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Barcelona
Half-time 0–0
Enes Ünal 🟨
49′
57′
⚽ O. Dembélé 0–1
Sergi Roberto
60′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
Keko 🔁
↦ Borja Fernández
64′
D. Čop 🔁
↦ E. Ünal
70′
76′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ O. Dembélé
84′
🔁 Malcom
↦ Philippe Coutinho
D. Verde 🔁
↦ Toni Suárez
87′
91′
🔁 Munir
↦ L. Suárez
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-3-1-2
1 Jordi Masip G
17 Javi Moyano D
4 Kiko Olivas D
22 Nacho Martínez D
5 Fernando Calero D
8 Borja Fernández M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
23 Anuar Tuhami M
19 Toni Suárez M
10 Óscar Plano M
9 E. Ünal F
Bench (7)
24 Keko
20 D. Čop
11 D. Verde
18 Antoñito
21 Míchel
26 Samuel Pérez
28 S. Karim

Coach: Sergio

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
23 S. Umtiti D
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Sergio Busquets M
7 Philippe Coutinho M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
22 A. Vidal
14 Malcom
19 Munir
2 Nélson Semedo
8 Arthur
15 C. Lenglet
31 Jokin Ezkieta

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.