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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Barcelona
S U S T S
3–0
Full-time
Alaves
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
5,0
2,7
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

78% Possession 22%
25 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Jan -18 Barcelona – Alaves 2–1 26. Aug -17 Alaves – Barcelona 0–2 11. Feb -17 Alaves – Barcelona 0–6 10. Sep -16 Barcelona – Alaves 1–2

Match report

Barcelona Alaves
10′
🟨 Daniel Torres
41′
🟨 Guillermo Maripán
Half-time 0–0
Philippe Coutinho 🔁
↦ Nélson Semedo
46′
1–0 L. Messi ⚽
64′
68′
🔁 Adrián Marín
↦ D. Torres
68′
🔁 Borja Bastón
↦ Jony
71′
🔁 Burgui
↦ Rubén Sobrino
Arthur 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
77′
2–0 Philippe Coutinho ⚽
Arthur
83′
A. Vidal 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
85′
3–0 L. Messi ⚽
L. Suárez
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-4-2
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
23 S. Umtiti D
2 Nélson Semedo D
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Sergio Busquets M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
7 Philippe Coutinho
8 Arthur
22 A. Vidal
12 Rafinha
13 J. Cillessen
14 Malcom
15 C. Lenglet

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Alaves

4-5-1
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
6 G. Maripán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
21 Martín D
22 M. Wakaso M
19 Manu García M
16 D. Torres M
11 Ibai Gómez M
23 Jony M
7 Rubén Sobrino F
Bench (7)
17 Adrián Marín
18 Borja Bastón
14 Burgui
13 Antonio Sivera
15 Ximo Navarro
24 P. Twumasi
27 Antonio Perera

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.