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Premier League

Referee: Jonathan Moss

Southampton

U S T U T

1–2

Full-time

Leicester

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

4,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Southampton 13. · Leicester 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	2	1	0	+7	7
2	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Watford	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Brighton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Wolves	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.