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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Alaves
T S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Huesca
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
55%
9%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 5. · Huesca 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 11 7 3 1 +17 24
2 Ath Madrid 12 6 5 1 +8 23
3 Espanol 11 6 3 2 +7 21
4 Sevilla 11 6 2 3 +9 20
5 Alaves 11 6 2 3 +4 20
6 Real Madrid 11 5 2 4 +2 17
7 Valladolid 12 4 5 3 +0 17
8 Levante 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Girona 12 4 5 3 -1 17
10 Sociedad 12 4 4 4 +1 16
11 Getafe 12 4 4 4 +1 16
12 Eibar 12 4 3 5 -6 15
13 Celta 11 3 5 3 +4 14
14 Valencia 12 2 8 2 -1 14
15 Betis 11 3 4 4 -4 13
16 Villarreal 11 2 4 5 -2 10
17 Ath Bilbao 12 1 7 4 -6 10
18 Leganes 12 2 4 6 -7 10
19 Vallecano 11 1 3 7 -11 6
20 Huesca 11 1 3 7 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Huesca
24′
🔁 R. Brežančić
↦ Pablo Ínsua
35′
Moi Gómez 0–1
S. Gürler
1–1 Jony
Ibai Gómez
41′
Ximo Navarro 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Ruben Semedo
Half-time 1–1
Rubén Sobrino 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
62′
2–1 Rubén Sobrino
68′
70′
🟨 Damian Musto
72′
🔁 Álex Gallar
↦ S. Gürler
Rubén Sobrino 🟨
73′
Guillermo Maripán 🟨
74′
76′
🟨 Carlos Akapo
Burgui 🔁
↦ Ibai Gómez
78′
81′
🔁 S. Longo
↦ Carlos Akapo
D. Torres 🔁
↦ Jony
87′
90′
🟨 Cucho Hernández
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
13 Antonio Sivera G
5 Laguardia D
15 Ximo Navarro D
6 G. Maripán D
21 Martín D
19 Manu García M
20 D. Brašanac M
11 Ibai Gómez M
23 Jony M
18 Borja Bastón F
12 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
7 Rubén Sobrino
14 Burgui
16 D. Torres
2 Carlos Vigaray
10 J. Guidetti
22 M. Wakaso
31 Álex Domínguez

Coach: Abelardo

Huesca

5-4-1
25 A. Jovanović G
14 Jorge Pulido D
24 Jorge Miramón D
18 Pablo Ínsua D
4 Rúben Semedo D
15 Carlos Akapo D
23 D. Musto M
7 David Ferreiro M
21 S. Gürler M
6 Moi Gómez M
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
20 R. Brežančić
11 Álex Gallar
12 S. Longo
1 A. Werner
5 Aguilera
17 Christian Rivera
22 Lluis Sastre

Coach: Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.