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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Barcelona

U T U U S

5–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 61%

78%

44%

Average goals

3,8

2,4

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Real Madrid 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Espanol	10	5	3	2	+6	18
4	Alaves	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+8	16
6	Valladolid	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Levante	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Getafe	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Real Madrid	9	4	2	3	+4	14
10	Celta	10	3	4	3	+4	13
11	Girona	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Betis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Valencia	10	1	8	1	-1	11
15	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Ath Bilbao	10	1	7	2	-4	10
17	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	-1	9
18	Leganes	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Vallecano	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Huesca	9	1	2	6	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Barcelona	5	3	2	0	+11	11
4	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Celta	6	2	3	1	+5	9
6	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Levante	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Betis	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Valencia	5	0	5	0	+0	5
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Vallecano	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Huesca	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+6	9
3	Levante	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Girona	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Espanol	6	1	3	2	+0	6
11	Ath Madrid	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Valencia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Real Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-9	4
20	Leganes	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.