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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Barcelona

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Leganes

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Leganes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 47%

68%

26%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

68%

26%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

47%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

2,8

0,9

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

72% Possession 28%

15 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Leganes 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	13	4	2	+33	43
2	Ath Madrid	20	11	8	1	+17	41
3	Real Madrid	20	11	3	6	+6	36
4	Sevilla	20	9	6	5	+9	33
5	Alaves	20	9	5	6	-1	32
6	Getafe	20	8	7	5	+9	31
7	Betis	20	8	5	7	+0	29
8	Sociedad	20	7	5	8	+1	26
9	Valencia	20	5	11	4	+1	26
10	Levante	20	7	5	8	-3	26
11	Girona	20	5	9	6	-3	24
12	Espanol	19	7	3	9	-6	24
13	Ath Bilbao	20	4	11	5	-5	23
14	Leganes	19	5	7	7	-4	22
15	Valladolid	20	5	7	8	-6	22
16	Eibar	19	5	7	7	-7	22
17	Celta	20	5	6	9	-2	21
18	Vallecano	20	5	5	10	-12	20
19	Villarreal	20	3	9	8	-5	18
20	Huesca	20	2	5	13	-22	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Barcelona	10	7	2	1	+21	23
3	Real Madrid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
4	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+7	20
5	Alaves	9	5	4	0	+5	19
6	Betis	11	5	3	3	+1	18
7	Espanol	9	6	0	3	+0	18
8	Getafe	10	5	1	4	+7	16
9	Eibar	10	4	4	2	+3	16
10	Leganes	9	4	4	1	+3	16
11	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	-1	14
12	Levante	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Celta	11	3	4	4	+3	13
14	Valencia	10	2	7	1	+3	13
15	Vallecano	11	3	4	4	-5	13
16	Girona	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Sociedad	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Villarreal	11	1	5	5	-4	8
19	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-4	8
20	Huesca	10	1	4	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Ath Madrid	10	3	6	1	+4	15
4	Getafe	10	3	6	1	+2	15
5	Valladolid	11	3	5	3	-2	14
6	Real Madrid	10	4	2	4	-4	14
7	Sevilla	11	3	4	4	+2	13
8	Girona	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Valencia	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Levante	10	3	3	4	+1	12
12	Betis	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Villarreal	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Ath Bilbao	10	1	6	3	-4	9
15	Celta	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Espanol	10	1	3	6	-6	6
18	Leganes	10	1	3	6	-7	6
19	Eibar	9	1	3	5	-10	6
20	Huesca	10	1	1	8	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.