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Serie A
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Napoli
S S U S U
0–0
Full-time
Torino
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 53%
70%
35%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
61%
39%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
26 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
15 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 2. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 24 21 3 0 +37 66
2 Napoli 23 16 4 3 +24 52
3 Inter 24 14 4 6 +17 46
4 Milan 24 11 9 4 +13 42
5 Atalanta 24 11 5 8 +17 38
6 Roma 23 10 8 5 +14 38
7 Lazio 24 11 5 8 +6 38
8 Fiorentina 24 8 11 5 +11 35
9 Torino 23 8 10 5 +6 34
10 Sampdoria 24 9 6 9 +8 33
11 Sassuolo 24 7 9 8 -5 30
12 Parma 24 8 5 11 -8 29
13 Genoa 24 7 7 10 -9 28
14 Cagliari 24 5 9 10 -14 24
15 Udinese 24 5 7 12 -12 22
16 Spal 24 5 7 12 -15 22
17 Empoli 24 5 6 13 -15 21
18 Bologna 23 3 9 11 -17 18
19 Frosinone 24 3 7 14 -29 16
20 Chievo 24 1 9 14 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Torino
Lorenzo Insigne 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 S. Meïté
↦ T. Rincón
58′
🟨 Emiliano Moretti
Kalidou Koulibaly 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ Álex Berenguer
Allan 🟨
65′
D. Mertens 🔁
↦ José Callejón
69′
S. Verdi 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
70′
71′
🟨 Ola Aina
78′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ C. Ansaldi
Elseid Hysaj 🟨
82′
Kévin Malcuit 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Napoli

4-4-2
25 D. Ospina G
19 N. Maksimović D
26 K. Koulibaly D
2 K. Malcuit D
23 E. Hysaj D
5 Allan M
20 P. Zieliński M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
99 A. Milik F
Bench (8)
14 D. Mertens
9 S. Verdi
1 A. Meret
13 S. Luperto
21 V. Chiricheș
27 O. Karnezis
31 F. Ghoulam
42 A. Diawara

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Torino

3-5-1-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
34 O. Aina D
88 T. Rincón M
7 S. Lukić M
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (10)
23 S. Meïté
8 D. Baselli
27 V. Parigini
1 S. Ichazo
11 S. Zaza
19 V. Damaşcan
25 A. Rosati
36 Bremer
99 E. Ferigra
14 Iago Falqué

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Michael Fabbri · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.