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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

St Etienne

S T U T S

0–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,2

3,2

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/22 matches

Win Ø 66%

46%

86%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

54%

77%

Both score Ø 52%

58%

45%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,5

3,1

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

6 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	19	2	1	+55	59
2	Lille	25	15	5	5	+20	50
3	Lyon	25	13	7	5	+12	46
4	Marseille	25	12	4	9	+6	40
5	St Etienne	24	11	7	6	+5	40
6	Montpellier	24	9	11	4	+12	38
7	Reims	25	9	11	5	+1	38
8	Nice	25	10	7	8	-7	37
9	Strasbourg	25	9	9	7	+11	36
10	Nimes	25	10	6	9	+2	36
11	Rennes	25	10	6	9	+1	36
12	Angers	25	8	9	8	+1	33
13	Bordeaux	24	8	7	9	-1	31
14	Nantes	25	7	6	12	-4	27
15	Toulouse	25	6	9	10	-12	27
16	Monaco	25	5	7	13	-17	22
17	Amiens	25	6	3	16	-21	21
18	Dijon	24	5	5	14	-18	20
19	Caen	25	3	10	12	-13	19
20	Guingamp	24	3	5	16	-33	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	12	0	0	+38	36
2	St Etienne	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Lille	13	8	4	1	+16	28
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+11	27
5	Marseille	12	7	3	2	+13	24
6	Reims	13	6	5	2	+5	23
7	Bordeaux	12	6	4	2	+5	22
8	Rennes	12	6	3	3	+6	21
9	Montpellier	12	5	5	2	+9	20
10	Nice	12	6	2	4	-1	20
11	Strasbourg	12	5	4	3	+6	19
12	Nimes	13	5	4	4	+5	19
13	Angers	13	5	4	4	+3	19
14	Nantes	12	4	4	4	+6	16
15	Amiens	12	4	1	7	-5	13
16	Toulouse	12	2	6	4	-4	12
17	Caen	13	2	5	6	-5	11
18	Dijon	11	3	2	6	-8	11
19	Monaco	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Guingamp	12	1	3	8	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Lille	12	7	1	4	+4	22
3	Lyon	12	5	4	3	+1	19
4	Montpellier	12	4	6	2	+3	18
5	Strasbourg	13	4	5	4	+5	17
6	Nimes	12	5	2	5	-3	17
7	Nice	13	4	5	4	-6	17
8	Marseille	13	5	1	7	-7	16
9	Reims	12	3	6	3	-4	15
10	Rennes	13	4	3	6	-5	15
11	Toulouse	13	4	3	6	-8	15
12	Angers	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Monaco	12	3	3	6	-5	12
14	St Etienne	12	2	5	5	-9	11
15	Nantes	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Bordeaux	12	2	3	7	-6	9
17	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-10	9
18	Caen	12	1	5	6	-8	8
19	Amiens	13	2	2	9	-16	8
20	Guingamp	12	2	2	8	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.