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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Celta
S T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Betis
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
23%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
65%
42%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
6 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 17. · Betis 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 27 19 6 2 +43 63
2 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 +22 56
3 Real Madrid 26 15 3 8 +12 48
4 Getafe 27 12 9 6 +12 45
5 Alaves 27 11 8 8 -2 41
6 Sevilla 26 10 7 9 +7 37
7 Valencia 26 7 15 4 +6 36
8 Betis 26 10 6 10 -2 36
9 Sociedad 26 9 8 9 +3 35
10 Eibar 27 8 11 8 -1 35
11 Ath Bilbao 27 7 13 7 -5 34
12 Espanol 27 9 7 11 -8 34
13 Leganes 27 8 9 10 -5 33
14 Girona 26 7 10 9 -7 31
15 Levante 26 8 6 12 -9 30
16 Valladolid 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Celta 26 6 7 13 -8 25
18 Villarreal 26 4 11 11 -8 23
19 Vallecano 27 6 5 16 -19 23
20 Huesca 27 5 7 15 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Betis
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Francis Guerrero
Okay Yokuşlu 🟨
64′
P. Sisto 🔁
↦ R. Boudebouz
64′
Maximiliano Gómez 🟨
76′
80′
Jesé 0–1
E. Apeh 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
85′
M. Jensen 🔁
↦ O. Yokuşlu
89′
89′
🔁 Javi García
↦ G. Lo Celso
Hugo Mallo 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 Emerson
↦ Joaquín
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-4-1-1
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araújo D
17 Juncà D
3 David Costas D
24 R. Boudebouz F
5 O. Yokuşlu M
14 S. Lobotka M
19 S. Boufal M
23 Brais Méndez M
9 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
11 P. Sisto
29 E. Apeh
18 M. Jensen
1 Sergio Álvarez
8 Fran Beltrán
21 Jozabed
12 W. Hoedt

Coach: Fran Escribá

Betis

3-1-4-2
13 Pau López G
12 Sidnei D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Lo Celso M
2 Francis Guerrero M
10 Jesé F
Bench (7)
11 Cristian Tello
3 Javi García
24 Emerson
1 Joel Robles
22 D. Lainez
34 W. Kaptoum
16 Loren Morón

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.