La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Eibar
Celta
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +41 | 60 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | +19 | 50 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +12 | 48 |
| 4 |
Alaves
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | -2 | 40 |
| 5 |
Getafe
|
25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | +10 | 39 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +7 | 37 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | +5 | 35 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
25 | 6 | 15 | 4 | +4 | 33 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 |
Espanol
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 12 |
Eibar
|
25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | -2 | 31 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -7 | 31 |
| 14 |
Leganes
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -5 | 30 |
| 15 |
Levante
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 30 |
| 16 |
Valladolid
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -14 | 26 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 25 |
| 18 |
Villarreal
|
26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -8 | 23 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -16 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Dmitrović
G
Arbilla
D
Marc Cucurella
D
Rubén Peña
D
Coach: Mendilibar
W. Hoedt
D
David Costas
D
S. Lobotka
M
M. Jensen
M
Coach: Miguel Cardoso
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Eibar
Eibar
Getafe
Sevilla
Eibar
Eibar
Girona
Leganes
Eibar
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.