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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Orsato
Chievo
U T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Lazio
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,8
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 9. · Lazio 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Napoli 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Sampdoria 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Bologna 3 2 0 1 -2 6
6 Roma 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 Pescara 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Torino 2 1 0 1 +3 3
9 Chievo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Lazio 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Udinese 2 1 0 1 -2 3
14 Sassuolo 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 Inter 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Palermo 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Atalanta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Crotone 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Empoli 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Lazio
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Gamberini
V. Birsa
51′
52′
🔁 B. Keita
↦ R. Kishna
Përparim Hetemaj 🟨
54′
54′
S. de Vrij 1–1
B. Keita
60′
🟨 Marco Parolo
66′
🔁 S. Milinković-Savić
↦ S. Lulić
68′
🟨 Sergej Milinković-Savić
R. Inglese 🔁
↦ S. Pellissier
70′
J. de Guzmán 🔁
↦ V. Birsa
77′
B. Cesar 🔁
↦ A. Gamberini
80′
87′
🟨 Dušan Basta
88′
🔁 F. Đorđević
↦ M. Parolo
Boštjan Cesar 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Ştefan Radu
90′
🟨 Felipe Anderson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
5 A. Gamberini D
3 D. Dainelli D
18 M. Gobbi D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
56 P. Hetemaj M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
31 S. Pellissier F
69 R. Meggiorini F
Bench (12)
45 R. Inglese
1 J. de Guzmán
12 B. Cesar
2 N. Spolli
4 N. Rigoni
13 M. Izco
21 N. Frey
27 V. Parigini
28 S. Bastien
32 W. Bressan
83 A. Floro Flores
90 A. Seculin

Coach: R. Maran

Lazio

4-3-3
22 F. Marchetti G
8 D. Basta M
26 Ş. Radu D
3 S. de Vrij D
15 Bastos D
20 L. Biglia M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Felipe Anderson M
17 C. Immobile F
7 R. Kishna M
Bench (12)
14 B. Keita
21 S. Milinković-Savić
9 F. Đorđević
1 T. Strakosha
2 W. Hoedt
4 Patric
5 D. Cataldi
6 J. Lukaku
13 Wallace
25 C. Lombardi
55 I. Vargić
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Orsato · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.