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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Valeri
Sassuolo
S T S T U
0–1
Full-time
Bologna
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,0
This season — Serie A · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
59%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 7
20 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 12. · Bologna 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 28 23 1 4 +39 70
2 Roma 27 19 2 6 +33 59
3 Napoli 27 17 6 4 +32 57
4 Lazio 27 16 5 6 +18 53
5 Atalanta 27 16 4 7 +16 52
6 Inter 27 16 3 8 +18 51
7 Milan 28 15 5 8 +9 50
8 Fiorentina 27 11 9 7 +7 42
9 Sampdoria 28 11 8 9 +2 41
10 Torino 27 10 9 8 +8 39
11 Chievo 27 10 5 12 -8 35
12 Sassuolo 27 9 4 14 -7 31
13 Cagliari 27 9 4 14 -21 31
14 Udinese 27 8 6 13 -7 30
15 Genoa 28 7 8 13 -12 29
16 Bologna 27 7 7 13 -17 28
17 Empoli 27 5 7 15 -24 22
18 Palermo 27 3 6 18 -30 15
19 Crotone 27 3 5 19 -24 14
20 Pescara 27 2 6 19 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Bologna
Paolo Cannavaro 🟨
25′
34′
🟨 Filip Helander
Domenico Berardi 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 F. Viviani
↦ G. Donsah
58′
M. Destro 0–1
B. Džemaili
59′
🟨 Mattia Destro
Matteo Politano 🟨
60′
A. Ragusa 🔁
↦ A. Aquilani
63′
64′
🟨 Vasilīs Torosidīs
64′
🟨 Federico Di Francesco
S. Missiroli 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
67′
72′
🔁 E. Krafth
↦ V. Torosidis
P. Iemmello 🔁
↦ A. Matri
78′
79′
🔁 L. Krejčí
↦ F. Di Francesco
82′
🟨 Adam Masina
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
28 P. Cannavaro D
23 M. Gazzola D
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
21 A. Aquilani M
32 A. Duncan M
6 L. Pellegrini M
10 A. Matri F
16 M. Politano F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (11)
90 A. Ragusa
7 S. Missiroli
9 P. Iemmello
1 A. Pomini
20 Pol Lirola
22 L. Mazzitelli
27 F. Ricci
39 C. Dell'Orco
55 T. Letschert
79 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Bologna

4-3-3
83 A. Mirante G
35 V. Torosidis D
20 D. Maietta D
18 F. Helander D
25 A. Masina D
31 B. Džemaili M
5 E. Pulgar M
17 G. Donsah M
10 M. Destro F
9 S. Verdi F
14 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (11)
6 F. Viviani
4 E. Krafth
11 L. Krejčí
1 Angelo da Costa
2 M. Oikonomou
8 S. Taïder
16 Á. Nagy
19 S. Umar
21 B. Petković
28 D. Gastaldello
97 M. Sarr

Coach: R. Donadoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paolo Valeri · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.