← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Inter
T S S T S
7–1
Full-time
Atalanta
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Inter Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 59%
59%
59%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
59%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 5–1

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 6. · Atalanta 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 28 23 1 4 +39 70
2 Roma 27 19 2 6 +33 59
3 Napoli 27 17 6 4 +32 57
4 Lazio 27 16 5 6 +18 53
5 Atalanta 27 16 4 7 +16 52
6 Inter 27 16 3 8 +18 51
7 Milan 28 15 5 8 +9 50
8 Fiorentina 27 11 9 7 +7 42
9 Sampdoria 28 11 8 9 +2 41
10 Torino 27 10 9 8 +8 39
11 Chievo 27 10 5 12 -8 35
12 Sassuolo 28 9 4 15 -8 31
13 Bologna 28 8 7 13 -16 31
14 Cagliari 27 9 4 14 -21 31
15 Udinese 27 8 6 13 -7 30
16 Genoa 28 7 8 13 -12 29
17 Empoli 27 5 7 15 -24 22
18 Palermo 27 3 6 18 -30 15
19 Crotone 27 3 5 19 -24 14
20 Pescara 27 2 6 19 -32 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Atalanta
15′
🟨 Rafael Tolói
1–0 M. Icardi ⚽
17′
23′
🟨 Etrit Berisha
2–0 M. Icardi ⚽
23′
25′
🟨 Ervin Zukanović
3–0 M. Icardi ⚽
É. Banega
26′
Mauro Icardi 🟨
28′
4–0 É. Banega ⚽
A. Candreva
31′
5–0 É. Banega ⚽
A. Candreva
34′
42′
⚽ R. Freuler 5–1
L. Spinazzola
Half-time 6–1
6–1 R. Gagliardini ⚽
52′
Cristian Ansaldi 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 A. Mounier
↦ A. Gómez
61′
🔁 A. Bastoni
↦ F. Kessié
7–1 É. Banega ⚽
67′
69′
🔁 M. D'Alessandro
↦ L. Spinazzola
João Mário 🔁
↦ É. Banega
70′
71′
🟨 Jasmin Kurtić
Roberto Gagliardini 🟨
76′
R. Palacio 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
77′
E. Martins 🔁
↦ I. Perišić
82′
Full-time 7–1

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
19 É. Banega M
17 G. Medel M
7 G. Kondogbia M
5 R. Gagliardini M
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
6 João Mário
8 R. Palacio
23 E. Martins
2 M. Andreolli
11 J. Biabiany
20 T. Sainsbury
21 D. Santon
24 J. Murillo
30 J. Carrizo
55 Y. Nagatomo
77 M. Brozović
96 Gabriel

Coach: S. Pioli

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 E. Berisha G
6 E. Zukanović D
3 Rafael Tolói D
24 A. Conti M
13 M. Caldara D
10 A. Gómez F
11 R. Freuler M
27 J. Kurtič M
37 L. Spinazzola M
19 F. Kessié M
29 A. Petagna F
Bench (12)
87 A. Mounier
95 A. Bastoni
7 M. D'Alessandro
4 B. Cristante
25 A. Konko
31 F. Rossi
33 H. Hateboer
43 A. Paloschi
52 B. Cabezas
77 C. Raimondi
88 A. Grassi
91 P. Gollini

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.