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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Westerlo
S T T T U
0–4
Full-time
Genk
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
17%
45%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
79%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
66%
41%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
2,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 15. · Genk 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 29 14 6 9 +8 48
2 Genk 29 13 6 10 +1 45
3 Waregem 19 13 4 2 +19 43
4 Club Brugge 19 13 2 4 +26 41
5 Standard 29 10 11 8 +9 41
6 Anderlecht 19 12 4 3 +27 40
7 Oostende 19 12 3 4 +20 39
8 Gent 19 10 4 5 +10 34
9 Charleroi 19 9 7 3 +6 34
10 Kortrijk 29 8 7 14 -15 31
11 Lokeren 29 7 9 13 -10 30
12 Beveren 29 7 9 13 -12 30
13 Eupen 29 8 6 15 -22 30
14 St Truiden 29 8 5 16 -13 29
15 Westerlo 29 5 8 16 -28 23
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 29 6 3 20 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -16 Genk – Westerlo 2–1 11. Dec -15 Westerlo – Genk 0–0 15. Aug -15 Genk – Westerlo 2–1

Match report

Westerlo Genk
Kenneth Schuermans 🟨
6′
7′
⚽ M. Samatta 0–1
Pozuelo
27′
⚽ T. Buffel 0–2
E. Acolatse 🔁
↦ B. De Ceulaer
32′
C. Strandberg 🔁
↦ K. Schuermans
32′
34′
🟨 Alejandro Pozuelo
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 S. Walsh
↦ J. Uronen
62′
⚽ O. Colley 0–3
Koen Van Langendonck 🟨
65′
Khaleem Hyland 🟥
65′
74′
🔁 José Naranjo
↦ Pozuelo
79′
🔁 L. Trossard
↦ T. Buffel
86′
🟨 Sander Berge
Nicolas Rommens 🟨
90′
91′
⚽ R. Malinovskiy 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Westerlo

5-3-2
30 K. Van Langendonck G
3 F. Daems D
19 D. Christensen M
2 M. Apau D
17 K. Schuermans D
24 M. Heylen D
8 M. Annys M
11 K. Hyland M
28 N. Rommens M
10 B. De Ceulaer F
35 S. Ganvoula F
Bench (8)
9 E. Acolatse
97 C. Strandberg
1 K. Van Hout
6 R. Henkens
22 G. Ruyssen
26 Y. Verbist
29 Y. Buyens
73 N. Miletić

Coach: J. Mathijssen

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Ryan G
2 J. Brabec D
21 J. Uronen D
15 O. Colley D
41 T. Castagne D
19 T. Buffel M
24 Pozuelo M
9 J. Boëtius M
18 R. Malinovskiy M
25 S. Berge M
77 M. Samatta F
Bench (8)
5 S. Walsh
11 José Naranjo
14 L. Trossard
6 S. Dewaest
8 B. Kumordzi
22 S. Schrijvers
30 N. Jackers
32 C. Janssens

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.