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Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Empoli
T T U U T
0–0
Full-time
Roma
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
0,0
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,7
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
10%
70%
Points per game
0,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
20%
90%
Both score Ø 40%
10%
70%
Average goals
1,5
3,8
Scored
0,2
2,6
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 18. · Roma 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 11 9 0 2 +15 27
2 Roma 10 7 1 2 +14 22
3 Napoli 11 6 2 3 +8 20
4 Atalanta 11 6 1 4 +3 19
5 Milan 10 6 1 3 +2 19
6 Lazio 10 5 3 2 +9 18
7 Fiorentina 10 4 4 2 +3 16
8 Torino 10 4 3 3 +7 15
9 Genoa 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Chievo 10 4 3 3 +1 15
11 Inter 10 4 2 4 +0 14
12 Udinese 10 4 1 5 -3 13
13 Sassuolo 10 4 1 5 -4 13
14 Bologna 11 3 4 4 -4 13
15 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 -6 13
16 Sampdoria 10 3 2 5 -5 11
17 Pescara 10 1 4 5 -6 7
18 Empoli 10 1 3 6 -11 6
19 Palermo 10 1 3 6 -12 6
20 Crotone 10 0 2 8 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Roma
Frédéric Veseli 🟨
11′
Giuseppe Bellusci 🟨
18′
30′
🟨 Kōnstantinos Manōlas
Manuel Pasqual 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 Bruno Peres
↦ Emerson
A. Tello 🔁
↦ R. Krunić
55′
Assane Dioussé 🟨
62′
Alberto Gilardino 🟨
67′
68′
🟨 Daniele De Rossi
M. Maccarone 🔁
↦ A. Gilardino
68′
68′
🔁 Juan Jesus
↦ A. Rüdiger
M. Büchel 🔁
↦ A. El Hadji
75′
Andrés Tello 🟨
76′
83′
🔁 D. Perotti
↦ D. De Rossi
90′
🟨 Mohamed Salah
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
28 L. Skorupski
21 M. Pasqual D
6 G. Bellusci D
15 A. Costa D
13 F. Veseli D
11 D. Croce M
10 R. Saponara M
33 R. Krunić M
8 A. El Hadji M
18 A. Gilardino F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
88 A. Tello
7 M. Maccarone
77 M. Büchel
3 M. Zambelli
4 F. Dimarco
5 J. Mauri
9 L. Mchedlidze
19 F. Barba
23 A. Pelagotti
24 U. Ćosić
31 Matheus Pereira
89 G. Marilungo

Coach: G. Martusciello

Roma

4-2-3-1
1 W. Szczęsny G
20 F. Fazio D
44 K. Manolas D
33 Emerson D
2 A. Rüdiger D
16 D. De Rossi M
4 R. Nainggolan M
11 Mohamed Salah F
5 L. Paredes M
9 E. Džeko F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
Bench (8)
13 Bruno Peres
3 Juan Jesus
8 D. Perotti
6 K. Strootman
7 J. Iturbe
18 B. Lobonț
19 Alisson
30 Gerson

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.