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Serie A
Referee: Carmine Russo
Pescara
U U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Crotone
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pescara Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 12%
6%
18%
Points per game
0,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
62%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pescara 20. · Crotone 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 35 27 4 4 +48 85
2 Napoli 35 23 8 4 +45 77
3 Roma 34 24 3 7 +44 75
4 Lazio 34 20 7 7 +24 67
5 Atalanta 35 19 8 8 +19 65
6 Milan 34 17 8 9 +13 59
7 Inter 34 17 5 12 +20 56
8 Fiorentina 34 15 10 9 +8 55
9 Torino 35 12 14 9 +9 50
10 Sampdoria 34 12 10 12 +0 46
11 Udinese 35 12 8 15 -5 44
12 Chievo 34 12 5 17 -15 41
13 Cagliari 35 12 5 18 -19 41
14 Sassuolo 34 11 6 17 -8 39
15 Bologna 34 10 8 16 -14 38
16 Genoa 34 7 9 18 -26 30
17 Empoli 34 7 8 19 -31 29
18 Crotone 34 6 7 21 -25 25
19 Palermo 34 4 7 23 -44 19
20 Pescara 34 2 8 24 -43 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Dec -16 Crotone – Pescara 2–1

Match report

Pescara Crotone
Gianluca Caprari 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🔁 B. Acosty
↦ M. Rohdén
54′
🟨 Leonardo Capezzi
Gastón Brugman 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 A. Tonev
↦ S. Nwankwo
R. Murić 🔁
↦ J. Bahebeck
66′
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ L. Memushaj
66′
71′
A. Tonev 0–1
M. Trotta
72′
🟨 Aleksandăr Tonev
75′
🔁 M. Sampirisi
↦ A. Nalini
Ahmed Benali 🟨
76′
Ahmed Benali 🟨
76′
Ahmed Benali 🟥
76′
A. Cerri 🔁
↦ C. Biraghi
82′
Mamadou Coulibaly 🟨
83′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Pescara

4-3-3
1 V. Fiorillo G
83 C. Bovo D
3 C. Biraghi D
11 F. Zampano M
44 M. Fornasier D
8 L. Memushaj M
16 G. Brugman M
7 V. Verre M
10 Ahmed Benali M
15 J. Bahebeck F
17 G. Caprari F
Bench (12)
30 R. Murić
33 M. Coulibaly
20 A. Cerri
2 A. Crescenzi
5 A. Bruno
9 G. Kastanos
13 S. Muntari
28 A. Mitriță
31 A. Bizzarri
35 A. Coda
36 A. Cubas
93 H. Miličević

Coach: Z. Zeman

Crotone

4-4-2
1 A. Cordaz G
22 A. Rosi M
17 F. Ceccherini D
13 G. Ferrari D
87 B. Martella D
28 L. Capezzi M
18 A. Barberis M
6 M. Rohdén M
29 M. Trotta F
99 S. Nwankwo F
9 A. Nalini F
Bench (12)
27 B. Acosty
24 A. Tonev
31 M. Sampirisi
3 Claiton
5 M. Festa
15 D. Mesbah
20 A. Kotnik
21 G. Cuomo
23 N. Dussenne
33 A. Viscovo
42 C. Suljic
92 G. Borello

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carmine Russo · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.