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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Fiorentina

T U T T S

2–1

Full-time

Bologna

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 10. · Bologna 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Torino	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Milan	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Spal	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Bologna	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Roma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Chievo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sassuolo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Verona	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Torino	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Roma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Chievo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.