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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Villarreal

S U T S S

4–0

Full-time

Las Palmas

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 32%

25%

38%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

25 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 6

6 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 9. · Las Palmas 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	Valencia	9	6	3	0	+15	21
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Ath Madrid	8	4	4	0	+8	16
5	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
6	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+1	16
7	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Villarreal	8	4	1	3	+1	13
10	Celta	8	3	2	3	+5	11
11	Ath Bilbao	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Levante	9	2	5	2	-2	11
13	Getafe	9	2	3	4	+1	9
14	Espanol	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	La Coruna	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Las Palmas	8	2	0	6	-11	6
19	Alaves	9	1	0	8	-11	3
20	Malaga	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	15
2	Valencia	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Real Madrid	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Celta	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Leganes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Girona	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Getafe	4	1	0	3	+1	3
18	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Valencia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Celta	4	2	0	2	+5	6
8	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Sevilla	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Ath Bilbao	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Eibar	4	1	0	3	-10	3
16	Girona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Levante	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-7	2
20	Malaga	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.