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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
PSV Eindhoven
T S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Heracles
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
3,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
88%
25%
Points per game
2,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
3,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
24 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Heracles 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 7 0 1 +18 21
2 Zwolle 9 5 3 1 +5 18
3 Ajax 8 5 1 2 +13 16
4 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 +10 16
5 Vitesse 7 4 2 1 +8 14
6 Heerenveen 7 4 2 1 +1 14
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 Den Haag 9 4 1 4 -2 13
9 VVV Venlo 9 3 3 3 -1 12
10 Excelsior 9 3 2 4 -3 11
11 Twente 9 3 0 6 +0 9
12 Heracles 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Groningen 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 -4 9
15 Willem II 9 3 0 6 -9 9
16 NAC Breda 9 2 1 6 -8 7
17 Sparta Rotterdam 9 1 3 5 -10 6
18 Roda 9 2 0 7 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Heracles
1–0 H. Lozano
J. Hendrix
18′
Jürgen Locadia 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Van den Buijs
↦ B. van Hintum
65′
🔁 P. van Ooijen
↦ R. Niemeijer
B. Ramselaar 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
67′
Mauro Júnior 🔁
↦ J. Locadia
71′
76′
🟨 Jeff Hardeveld
2–0 M. van Ginkel
Mauro Júnior
78′
81′
🟨 Joey Pelupessy
85′
🟨 Wout Droste
86′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ K. Peterson
Albert Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
87′
90′
🟥 Robin Propper
3–0 M. van Ginkel
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
9 L. de Jong F
19 J. Locadia F
7 G. Pereiro M
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (11)
23 B. Ramselaar
47 Mauro Júnior
29 Albert Gudmundsson
3 D. Luckassen
13 E. Room
14 S. Lammers
16 D. Rigo
18 P. Rosario
31 Y. van Osch
32 K. Paal
50 A. Obispo

Coach: P. Cocu

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
12 W. Droste D
5 B. van Hintum D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
14 J. Pelupessy M
35 Jamiro M
29 R. Niemeijer M
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
15 J. Navrátil F
Bench (9)
6 D. Van den Buijs
20 P. van Ooijen
9 P. Gladon
2 T. Breukers
3 D. Wuytens
19 V. Vermeij
24 G. Agbaljan
26 H. Zeinstra
28 M. Brouwer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.