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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Troyes
U T S S U
0–5
Full-time
Lyon
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
44%
78%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,9
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 13. · Lyon 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 8 1 0 +23 25
2 Monaco 10 7 1 2 +14 22
3 Nantes 10 6 2 2 +2 20
4 Marseille 9 5 2 2 +3 17
5 St Etienne 10 5 2 3 +3 17
6 Lyon 9 4 4 1 +5 16
7 Bordeaux 10 4 4 2 +1 16
8 Montpellier 10 4 3 3 +2 15
9 Caen 10 5 0 5 -1 15
10 Toulouse 10 4 2 4 -4 14
11 Guingamp 10 4 1 5 -2 13
12 Angers 10 2 6 2 +2 12
13 Troyes 9 3 3 3 +0 12
14 Nice 10 3 1 6 -3 10
15 Rennes 10 2 3 5 -3 9
16 Amiens 9 3 0 6 -6 9
17 Dijon 10 2 3 5 -7 9
18 Strasbourg 10 2 3 5 -7 9
19 Lille 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Metz 10 1 0 9 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Lyon
15′
🟨 Jérémy Morel
Samuel Grandsir 🟨
18′
21′
B. Traoré 0–1
Fernando Marçal
33′
🟨 Rafael
Half-time 0–2
49′
M. Depay 0–2
T. NDombèlé
Tristan Dingome 🟨
59′
65′
M. Depay 0–3
C. Ben Saada 🔁
↦ S. Grandsir
67′
Suk Hyun-Jun 🔁
↦ A. Niane
68′
Christophe Herelle 🟥
69′
70′
M. Depay 0–4
J. Giraudon 🔁
↦ S. Khaoui
71′
72′
🔁 J. Ferri
↦ L. Tousart
72′
🔁 M. Cornet
↦ B. Traoré
79′
🔁 M. Maolida
↦ H. Aouar
90′
M. Díaz 0–5
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Troyes

4-2-3-1
30 M. Samassa G
4 O. Vizcarrondo D
2 J. Cordoval D
22 C. Hérelle D
23 C. Traoré D
14 F. Bellugou M
19 T. Dingomé M
28 B. Pelé M
13 S. Khaoui M
26 A. Niane F
29 S. Grandsir M
Bench (7)
18 C. Ben Saada
9 Suk Hyun-Jun
24 J. Giraudon
1 E. Zelazny
12 M. Deplagne
17 J. Obiang
27 A. Confais

Coach: J. Garcia

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
15 J. Morel D
6 Marcelo D
4 Rafael D
20 Fernando Marçal D
28 T. NDombèlé M
29 L. Tousart M
8 H. Aouar M
10 B. Traoré F
11 M. Depay F
9 M. Díaz F
Bench (7)
12 J. Ferri
27 M. Cornet
17 M. Maolida
5 M. Diakhaby
18 N. Fekir
23 K. Tete
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.