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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Cagliari

U T T S T

1–2

Full-time

Milan

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 3

23 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cagliari 16. · Milan 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	21	17	3	1	+32	54
2	Juventus	20	16	2	2	+34	50
3	Lazio	20	13	4	3	+28	43
4	Inter	20	12	6	2	+20	42
5	Roma	19	12	3	4	+16	39
6	Sampdoria	20	10	3	7	+9	33
7	Atalanta	21	8	6	7	+4	30
8	Udinese	20	9	2	9	+6	29
9	Torino	21	6	11	4	+1	29
10	Fiorentina	21	7	7	7	+6	28
11	Milan	20	8	4	8	-2	28
12	Bologna	21	8	3	10	-4	27
13	Chievo	21	5	7	9	-16	22
14	Sassuolo	21	6	4	11	-17	22
15	Genoa	20	5	6	9	-6	21
16	Cagliari	20	6	2	12	-13	20
17	Crotone	21	5	3	13	-22	18
18	Spal	21	3	7	11	-17	16
19	Verona	21	3	4	14	-26	13
20	Benevento	21	2	1	18	-33	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	8	1	1	+18	25
2	Sampdoria	10	8	0	2	+16	24
3	Napoli	10	7	2	1	+16	23
4	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
5	Roma	11	7	1	3	+7	22
6	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+7	18
7	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+14	17
8	Milan	10	5	2	3	+0	17
9	Fiorentina	10	4	4	2	+5	16
10	Udinese	11	5	1	5	+4	16
11	Torino	10	3	5	2	+4	14
12	Chievo	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Bologna	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Crotone	10	3	2	5	-6	11
15	Spal	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Cagliari	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Sassuolo	10	2	3	5	-6	9
18	Genoa	10	2	2	6	-6	8
19	Benevento	11	2	1	8	-14	7
20	Verona	11	2	1	8	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	Lazio	11	8	2	1	+14	26
3	Juventus	10	8	1	1	+16	25
4	Inter	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Roma	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Bologna	10	5	0	5	-2	15
7	Torino	11	3	6	2	-3	15
8	Udinese	9	4	1	4	+2	13
9	Genoa	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	-11	13
11	Fiorentina	11	3	3	5	+1	12
12	Atalanta	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Milan	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Cagliari	10	3	1	6	-8	10
15	Sampdoria	10	2	3	5	-7	9
16	Chievo	11	2	3	6	-14	9
17	Crotone	11	2	1	8	-16	7
18	Verona	10	1	3	6	-12	6
19	Spal	11	1	3	7	-12	6
20	Benevento	10	0	0	10	-19	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.