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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Inter

S U T S U

1–0

Full-time

Napoli

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 68%

59%

76%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

53%

65%

Both score Ø 41%

35%

47%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 0

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Inter 3. · Napoli 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	16	2	0	+26	50
2	Napoli	17	13	2	2	+20	41
3	Inter	17	10	3	4	+15	33
4	Lazio	18	9	4	5	+7	31
5	Sampdoria	18	8	5	5	+10	29
6	Milan	18	7	7	4	+5	28
7	Roma	18	7	6	5	+8	27
8	Torino	18	6	8	4	+5	26
9	Atalanta	18	7	4	7	+8	25
10	Fiorentina	18	6	7	5	+7	25
11	Sassuolo	18	6	7	5	+2	25
12	Parma	18	7	4	7	-4	25
13	Cagliari	18	4	8	6	-6	20
14	Genoa	18	5	4	9	-10	19
15	Spal	18	4	5	9	-11	17
16	Empoli	18	4	4	10	-14	16
17	Udinese	18	3	6	9	-9	15
18	Bologna	18	2	7	9	-13	13
19	Frosinone	18	1	7	10	-24	10
20	Chievo	18	0	8	10	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	9	7	2	0	+16	23
3	Inter	8	6	1	1	+12	19
4	Roma	9	5	3	1	+10	18
5	Fiorentina	9	5	2	2	+9	17
6	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+6	17
8	Milan	9	5	2	2	+3	17
9	Genoa	9	4	3	2	+3	15
10	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+8	14
11	Cagliari	9	3	5	1	+3	14
12	Sassuolo	9	3	5	1	+2	14
13	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
14	Parma	9	3	4	2	+1	13
15	Empoli	9	4	1	4	-1	13
16	Spal	9	2	4	3	-3	10
17	Bologna	9	2	3	4	-4	9
18	Udinese	9	2	2	5	-7	8
19	Frosinone	9	0	5	4	-10	5
20	Chievo	9	0	4	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	8	6	0	2	+4	18
3	Inter	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	Lazio	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Torino	9	2	7	0	+4	13
6	Sampdoria	9	3	3	3	+3	12
7	Parma	9	4	0	5	-5	12
8	Milan	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Sassuolo	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	Roma	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	Fiorentina	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Udinese	9	1	4	4	-2	7
14	Spal	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Cagliari	9	1	3	5	-9	6
16	Frosinone	9	1	2	6	-14	5
17	Bologna	9	0	4	5	-9	4
18	Chievo	9	0	4	5	-12	4
19	Genoa	9	1	1	7	-13	4
20	Empoli	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.