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Serie A

Referee: Fabrizio Pasqua

Chievo

U U U U U

1–1

Full-time

Inter

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 32%

63%

Points per game

0,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

56%

31%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chievo 20. · Inter 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	15	1	0	+25	46
2	Napoli	17	13	2	2	+20	41
3	Inter	16	10	2	4	+15	32
4	Lazio	17	8	4	5	+5	28
5	Milan	17	7	6	4	+5	27
6	Sampdoria	17	7	5	5	+8	26
7	Fiorentina	17	6	7	4	+8	25
8	Sassuolo	17	6	7	4	+4	25
9	Atalanta	17	7	3	7	+8	24
10	Roma	16	6	6	4	+7	24
11	Torino	17	5	8	4	+2	23
12	Parma	16	6	3	7	-5	21
13	Genoa	17	5	4	8	-9	19
14	Cagliari	17	3	8	6	-7	17
15	Empoli	17	4	4	9	-11	16
16	Spal	17	4	4	9	-11	16
17	Udinese	17	3	5	9	-9	14
18	Bologna	16	2	6	8	-11	12
19	Frosinone	17	1	6	10	-24	9
20	Chievo	16	0	7	9	-20	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	7	2	0	+16	23
2	Juventus	8	7	1	0	+12	22
3	Inter	8	6	1	1	+12	19
4	Fiorentina	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Milan	9	5	2	2	+3	17
7	Roma	8	4	3	1	+8	15
8	Genoa	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Sampdoria	8	4	2	2	+5	14
10	Sassuolo	9	3	5	1	+2	14
11	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	+8	13
12	Empoli	9	4	1	4	-1	13
13	Parma	8	3	3	2	+1	12
14	Cagliari	8	2	5	1	+2	11
15	Torino	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	Bologna	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Spal	8	2	3	3	-3	9
18	Udinese	9	2	2	5	-7	8
19	Frosinone	8	0	4	4	-10	4
20	Chievo	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	8	0	0	+13	24
2	Napoli	8	6	0	2	+4	18
3	Torino	9	2	7	0	+4	13
4	Inter	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Sampdoria	9	3	3	3	+3	12
6	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	+0	11
8	Lazio	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Milan	8	2	4	2	+2	10
10	Roma	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Parma	8	3	0	5	-6	9
12	Fiorentina	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Spal	9	2	1	6	-8	7
14	Udinese	8	1	3	4	-2	6
15	Cagliari	9	1	3	5	-9	6
16	Frosinone	9	1	2	6	-14	5
17	Chievo	8	0	4	4	-10	4
18	Genoa	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Bologna	8	0	3	5	-9	3
20	Empoli	8	0	3	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.