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Serie A
Referee: Rosario Abisso
Inter
S T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Udinese
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
60%
47%
Both score Ø 40%
33%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
22 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 3. · Udinese 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 15 14 1 0 +24 43
2 Napoli 15 11 2 2 +18 35
3 Inter 15 9 2 4 +14 29
4 Milan 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Lazio 15 7 4 4 +4 25
6 Torino 15 5 7 3 +3 22
7 Atalanta 15 6 3 6 +9 21
8 Roma 15 5 6 4 +6 21
9 Sassuolo 15 5 6 4 +2 21
10 Parma 15 6 3 6 -3 21
11 Sampdoria 15 5 5 5 +4 20
12 Fiorentina 15 4 7 4 +5 19
13 Cagliari 15 3 8 4 -4 17
14 Empoli 15 4 4 7 -7 16
15 Genoa 15 4 4 7 -10 16
16 Spal 15 4 3 8 -10 15
17 Udinese 15 3 4 8 -8 13
18 Bologna 15 2 5 8 -11 11
19 Frosinone 15 1 5 9 -22 8
20 Chievo 15 0 6 9 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. May -18 Udinese – Inter 0–4 16. Dec -17 Inter – Udinese 1–3 28. May -17 Inter – Udinese 5–2 8. Jan -17 Udinese – Inter 1–2 23. Apr -16 Inter – Udinese 3–1

Match report

Inter Udinese
Kwadwo Asamoah 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–0
Lautaro Martínez 🔁
↦ Borja Valero
55′
Matteo Politano 🟨
58′
70′
🟨 Juan Musso
I. Perišić 🔁
↦ K. Baldé
70′
1–0 M. Icardi ⚽
76′
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
78′
R. Nainggolan 🔁
↦ M. Politano
85′
85′
🔁 D. Machís
↦ S. Fofana
92′
🔁 Felipe Vizeu
↦ H. ter Avest
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Inter

4-3-3
1 S. Handanovič G
18 K. Asamoah D
2 Š. Vrsaljko D
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
20 Borja Valero M
77 M. Brozović M
15 João Mário M
9 M. Icardi F
16 M. Politano F
11 K. Baldé F
Bench (9)
10 Lautaro Martínez
44 I. Perišić
14 R. Nainggolan
5 R. Gagliardini
13 A. Ranocchia
23 João Miranda
27 D. Padelli
33 D. D'Ambrosio
87 A. Candreva

Coach: L. Spalletti

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
18 H. ter Avest D
11 V. Behrami M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
23 I. Pussetto M
38 R. Mandragora M
Bench (12)
16 D. Machís
9 Felipe Vizeu
2 M. Wagué
4 N. Opoku
7 G. Pezzella
14 P. Mićin
15 K. Lasagna
21 S. Pontisso
22 S. Scuffet
72 A. Barák
88 Nicolas
99 A. Balić

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Rosario Abisso · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.