Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Juventus
Roma
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | +25 | 46 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | +20 | 41 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +15 | 33 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 28 |
| 5 |
Milan
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 27 |
| 6 |
Sampdoria
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 26 |
| 7 |
Fiorentina
|
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | +8 | 25 |
| 8 |
Sassuolo
|
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | +4 | 25 |
| 9 |
Atalanta
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | +8 | 24 |
| 10 |
Roma
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 24 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -9 | 19 |
| 14 |
Cagliari
|
17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 16 |
| 16 |
Spal
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 |
Udinese
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 14 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 19 |
Frosinone
|
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -24 | 9 |
| 20 |
Chievo
|
17 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -20 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
W. Szczęsny
G
R. Bentancur
M
P. Dybala
F
Coach: M. Allegri
R. Olsen
G
S. Nzonzi
M
B. Cristante
M
C. Ünder
M
N. Zaniolo
M
P. Schick
F
Coach: E. Di Francesco
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Torino
Juventus
Juventus
Inter
Fiorentina
Juventus
Juventus
Spal
Milan
Juventus
Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.