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Serie A
Referee: Federico La Penna
Torino
S U S U S
3–0
Full-time
Chievo
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Chievo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 20%
36%
4%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
36%
44%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 8. · Chievo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 25 22 3 0 +38 69
2 Napoli 25 17 5 3 +28 56
3 Milan 26 13 9 4 +17 48
4 Inter 26 14 5 7 +16 47
5 Roma 26 12 8 6 +13 44
6 Lazio 25 12 5 8 +9 41
7 Atalanta 25 11 5 9 +15 38
8 Torino 25 9 11 5 +8 38
9 Fiorentina 25 8 12 5 +11 36
10 Sampdoria 25 10 6 9 +9 36
11 Sassuolo 26 7 10 9 -6 31
12 Parma 26 8 6 12 -12 30
13 Genoa 25 7 8 10 -9 29
14 Cagliari 26 6 9 11 -14 27
15 Spal 25 5 8 12 -15 23
16 Udinese 24 5 7 12 -12 22
17 Empoli 26 5 7 14 -18 22
18 Bologna 25 3 9 13 -19 18
19 Frosinone 25 3 7 15 -30 16
20 Chievo 25 1 10 14 -29 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Chievo
18′
🔁 F. Depaoli
↦ E. Schelotto
Saša Lukić 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
S. Zaza 🔁
↦ S. Lukić
51′
Álex Berenguer 🔁
↦ Iago Falqué
62′
64′
🔁 M. Stępiński
↦ R. Meggiorini
68′
🟨 Assane Dioussé
73′
🟨 Nicola Rigoni
74′
🔁 M. Andreolli
↦ P. Jaroszyński
1–0 A. Belotti
S. Zaza
76′
78′
🟨 Mattia Bani
T. Rincón 🔁
↦ S. Meïté
82′
86′
🟨 Mariusz Stępiński
2–0 T. Rincón
92′
3–0 S. Zaza
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
7 S. Lukić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
11 S. Zaza
21 Álex Berenguer
88 T. Rincón
27 V. Parigini
30 K. Djidji
36 Bremer
1 S. Ichazo
17 W. Singo
25 A. Rosati

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Chievo

4-3-1-2
70 S. Sorrentino G
2 E. Schelotto D
5 F. Barba D
14 M. Bani D
44 P. Jaroszyński D
4 N. Rigoni M
17 E. Giaccherini M
8 A. Dioussé M
11 M. Léris M
20 F. Đorđević F
69 R. Meggiorini F
Bench (12)
27 F. Depaoli
9 M. Stępiński
33 M. Andreolli
55 Emanuel Vignato
13 S. Kiyine
67 E. Caprile
12 B. Cesar
1 A. Šemper
15 L. Rossettini
25 S. Grubac
7 Lucas Piazon
10 M. Pucciarelli

Coach: D. Di Carlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Federico La Penna · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.