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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Valencia

T U U T U

2–0

Full-time

Celta

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 30%

27%

32%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

51%

35%

Both score Ø 52%

65%

38%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

22 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 11. · Celta 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	38	26	8	4	+49	86
2	Barcelona	37	21	10	6	+32	73
3	Ath Madrid	37	20	8	9	+21	68
4	Sevilla	37	17	16	4	+22	67
5	Betis	38	19	8	11	+22	65
6	Sociedad	37	17	11	9	+4	62
7	Villarreal	37	15	11	11	+24	56
8	Ath Bilbao	37	14	13	10	+8	55
9	Osasuna	37	12	11	14	-12	47
10	Celta	37	12	10	15	+2	46
11	Valencia	37	10	15	12	-7	45
12	Vallecano	38	11	9	18	-11	42
13	Espanol	37	10	11	16	-13	41
14	Getafe	37	8	15	14	-6	39
15	Elche	37	10	9	18	-14	39
16	Granada	37	8	13	16	-17	37
17	Cadiz	37	7	15	15	-17	36
18	Mallorca	37	9	9	19	-29	36
19	Levante	38	8	11	19	-25	35
20	Alaves	37	8	7	22	-33	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	13	5	1	+31	44
2	Ath Madrid	19	12	5	2	+17	41
3	Sevilla	18	11	6	1	+18	39
4	Barcelona	18	12	2	4	+20	38
5	Villarreal	19	10	6	3	+22	36
6	Sociedad	18	10	5	3	+8	35
7	Ath Bilbao	19	10	4	5	+11	34
8	Espanol	19	9	6	4	+6	33
9	Betis	19	10	2	7	+12	32
10	Vallecano	19	8	5	6	+4	29
11	Getafe	19	7	7	5	+6	28
12	Mallorca	19	7	6	6	-5	27
13	Celta	19	7	4	8	+3	25
14	Alaves	18	7	4	7	-3	25
15	Elche	18	6	6	6	+1	24
16	Valencia	18	5	8	5	+0	23
17	Levante	19	5	7	7	-2	22
18	Osasuna	18	5	7	6	-7	22
19	Granada	18	5	6	7	-7	21
20	Cadiz	19	3	9	7	-5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	13	3	3	+18	42
2	Barcelona	19	9	8	2	+12	35
3	Betis	19	9	6	4	+10	33
4	Sevilla	19	6	10	3	+4	28
5	Ath Madrid	18	8	3	7	+4	27
6	Sociedad	19	7	6	6	-4	27
7	Osasuna	19	7	4	8	-5	25
8	Valencia	19	5	7	7	-7	22
9	Celta	18	5	6	7	-1	21
10	Ath Bilbao	18	4	9	5	-3	21
11	Villarreal	18	5	5	8	+2	20
12	Cadiz	18	4	6	8	-12	18
13	Granada	19	3	7	9	-10	16
14	Elche	19	4	3	12	-15	15
15	Vallecano	19	3	4	12	-15	13
16	Levante	19	3	4	12	-23	13
17	Getafe	18	1	8	9	-12	11
18	Mallorca	18	2	3	13	-24	9
19	Espanol	18	1	5	12	-19	8
20	Alaves	19	1	3	15	-30	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.