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Ligue 1
Referee: Lionel Jaffredo
Bordeaux
T S U U S
1–0
Full-time
Lille
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
40%
15%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,6
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 12. · Lille 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 18 3 0 +42 57
2 Angers 21 9 7 5 +7 34
3 Nice 21 9 6 6 +10 33
4 Monaco 20 8 9 3 +2 33
5 Caen 20 9 3 8 -3 30
6 Lyon 20 8 5 7 +3 29
7 St Etienne 20 9 2 9 -1 29
8 Rennes 20 6 10 4 +4 28
9 Lorient 20 6 9 5 +1 27
10 Nantes 20 7 6 7 -2 27
11 Marseille 20 6 8 6 +7 26
12 Bordeaux 20 6 8 6 -4 26
13 Lille 20 5 10 5 +2 25
14 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 20 6 7 7 -2 25
15 Montpellier 20 6 4 10 -4 22
16 Bastia 20 6 4 10 -6 22
17 Reims 20 5 6 9 -7 21
18 Guingamp 20 5 5 10 -10 20
19 Toulouse 21 4 8 9 -11 20
20 Troyes 20 0 8 12 -28 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -15 Lille – Bordeaux 0–0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.