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Ligue 1

Referee: Said Ennjimi

Caen

T S U S U

1–2

Full-time

Lille

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

56%

19%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

38%

Both score Ø 35%

38%

31%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,6

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

14 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 3. · Lille 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	3	0	+32	45
2	Angers	17	8	6	3	+7	30
3	Caen	16	9	2	5	+3	29
4	Lyon	17	7	5	5	+5	26
5	Nice	17	7	4	6	+8	25
6	Monaco	16	6	7	3	+0	25
7	St Etienne	16	8	1	7	+0	25
8	Marseille	16	6	4	6	+7	22
9	Lorient	16	5	7	4	+3	22
10	Rennes	16	5	7	4	+2	22
11	Nantes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
12	Reims	16	5	4	7	-3	19
13	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	16	5	4	7	-3	19
14	Guingamp	16	5	4	7	-6	19
15	Montpellier	16	5	3	8	-3	18
16	Bastia	16	5	3	8	-5	18
17	Bordeaux	16	4	6	6	-6	18
18	Lille	16	3	8	5	-2	17
19	Toulouse	16	3	6	7	-11	15
20	Troyes	16	0	5	11	-25	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	St Etienne	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Caen	8	5	1	2	+0	16
4	Lorient	9	4	3	2	+6	15
5	Bastia	8	5	0	3	+4	15
6	Lyon	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Bordeaux	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Angers	9	3	5	1	+2	14
9	Guingamp	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Montpellier	9	4	0	5	-1	12
11	Reims	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Lille	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Nantes	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Nice	8	3	1	4	+3	10
15	Toulouse	7	2	4	1	+2	10
16	Monaco	8	2	4	2	-2	10
17	Marseille	8	2	3	3	+6	9
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	7	2	3	2	+1	9
19	Rennes	8	2	3	3	-2	9
20	Troyes	9	0	4	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Angers	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Nice	9	4	3	2	+5	15
4	Monaco	8	4	3	1	+2	15
5	Rennes	8	3	4	1	+4	13
6	Caen	8	4	1	3	+3	13
7	Marseille	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Nantes	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	9	3	1	5	-4	10
11	St Etienne	8	3	0	5	-6	9
12	Reims	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Lorient	7	1	4	2	-3	7
14	Guingamp	8	2	1	5	-9	7
15	Montpellier	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Lille	8	0	6	2	-3	6
17	Toulouse	9	1	2	6	-13	5
18	Bordeaux	8	0	4	4	-9	4
19	Bastia	8	0	3	5	-9	3
20	Troyes	7	0	1	6	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.