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Ligue 1
Referee: Benoît Bastien
St Etienne
T S T U U
2–1
Full-time
Angers
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
25%
30%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
1,8
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 9. · Angers 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 21 15 3 3 +43 48
2 Nice 21 13 7 1 +21 46
3 Paris SG 21 14 3 4 +26 45
4 Lyon 19 11 1 7 +14 34
5 Guingamp 21 8 7 6 +4 31
6 Marseille 20 8 6 6 +0 30
7 Rennes 21 8 5 8 -4 29
8 Bordeaux 21 7 8 6 -5 29
9 St Etienne 20 6 9 5 +2 27
10 Toulouse 21 7 5 9 -1 26
11 Nantes 21 7 4 10 -14 25
12 Nancy 20 6 6 8 -7 24
13 Montpellier 21 5 8 8 -5 23
14 Lille 21 6 5 10 -7 23
15 Metz 20 6 5 9 -16 23
16 Dijon 21 4 9 8 -3 21
17 Bastia 21 5 6 10 -7 21
18 Caen 20 6 3 11 -12 21
19 Angers 20 5 5 10 -9 20
20 Lorient 21 5 3 13 -20 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Angers
17′
M. Pavlović 0–1
K. Bérigaud
23′
🟨 Abdoulaye Bamba
Jordan Veretout 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 Pierrick Capelle
Half-time 0–1
N. Roux 🔁
↦ J. Veretout
46′
0–2 A. Bamba
own goal
51′
52′
🟨 Ismaël Traoré
Pierre-Yves Polomat 🟨
67′
A. Nordin 🔁
↦ H. Keyta
68′
68′
🔁 M. Tahrat
↦ P. Capelle
1–2 L. Perrin
74′
78′
🔁 D. Nwakaeme
↦ B. Santamaria
86′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ K. Bérigaud
F. Pogba 🔁
↦ K. Monnet-Paquet
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-3-3
30 J. Moulin G
24 L. Perrin D
2 K. Théophile Catherine D
25 K. Malcuit D
3 P. Polomat D
18 F. Lemoine M
17 O. Selnæs M
14 J. Veretout M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
21 R. Hamouma M
32 H. Keyta F
Bench (7)
9 N. Roux
33 A. Nordin
19 F. Pogba
34 K. Rocha Santos
31 R. Pierre-Gabriel
1 A. Maisonnial
7 B. Dabo

Coach: C. Galtier

Angers

4-3-3
1 D. Petric
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
18 B. Santamaria M
2 K. Bérigaud F
27 F. Dore F
Bench (7)
26 M. Tahrat
11 D. Nwakaeme
20 F. Tait
6 G. Bourillon
12 Y. Wissa
16 M. Michel
21 P. Martinez

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.