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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Eibar
T U U T S
0–4
Full-time
Barcelona
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
39%
61%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
61%
Average goals
2,7
3,6
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 9. · Barcelona 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 18 13 4 1 +31 43
2 Sevilla 19 13 3 3 +17 42
3 Barcelona 18 11 5 2 +30 38
4 Ath Madrid 19 10 5 4 +18 35
5 Sociedad 19 11 2 6 +6 35
6 Villarreal 19 8 7 4 +12 31
7 Ath Bilbao 19 8 5 6 +3 29
8 Celta 19 8 3 8 -4 27
9 Eibar 18 7 5 6 +1 26
10 Espanol 19 6 8 5 -1 26
11 Las Palmas 19 6 7 6 -2 25
12 Alaves 19 5 8 6 -3 23
13 Betis 19 6 4 9 -10 22
14 Malaga 19 5 6 8 -6 21
15 Valencia 18 5 4 9 -5 19
16 La Coruna 19 4 7 8 -5 19
17 Leganes 19 4 6 9 -16 18
18 Sp Gijon 19 3 4 12 -18 13
19 Granada 19 1 7 11 -26 10
20 Osasuna 19 1 6 12 -22 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Barcelona
10′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ Busquets
Gonzalo Escalante 🟨
26′
31′
Denis Suárez 0–1
Ander Capa 🟨
39′
42′
🟨 Arda Turan
Sergi Enrich 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–2
50′
L. Messi 0–2
L. Suárez
65′
🔁 Aleix Vidal
↦ Sergi Roberto
68′
L. Suárez 0–3
Fran Rico 🔁
↦ Adrián
74′
76′
🔁 Paco Alcácer
↦ L. Suárez
Rubén Peña 🔁
↦ T. Inui
78′
Christian Rivera 🔁
↦ Luna
82′
91′
Neymar 0–4
Aleix Vidal
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Yoel G
15 M. Dos Santos D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
7 Ander Capa D
8 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
24 Adrián M
14 Dani García M
5 G. Escalante M
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
16 Fran Rico
11 Rubén Peña
6 Christian Rivera
3 Alejandro Gálvez
22 Nano
30 Markel Areitio
25 Bebé

Coach: Mendilibar

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
24 J. Mathieu D
18 Jordi Alba D
23 S. Umtiti D
7 A. Turan M
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Busquets M
20 Sergi Roberto D
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 Neymar F
Bench (7)
6 Denis Suárez
22 Aleix Vidal
17 Paco Alcácer
3 Piqué
13 J. Cillessen
19 L. Digne
21 André Gomes

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.