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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Ath Bilbao

S T S U U

2–2

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

56%

39%

Both score Ø 42%

61%

22%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

8 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	13	4	1	+31	43
2	Sevilla	19	13	3	3	+17	42
3	Barcelona	18	11	5	2	+30	38
4	Ath Madrid	18	10	4	4	+18	34
5	Sociedad	18	10	2	6	+5	32
6	Villarreal	19	8	7	4	+12	31
7	Ath Bilbao	18	8	4	6	+3	28
8	Celta	18	8	3	7	-3	27
9	Eibar	18	7	5	6	+1	26
10	Espanol	19	6	8	5	-1	26
11	Las Palmas	19	6	7	6	-2	25
12	Alaves	19	5	8	6	-3	23
13	Malaga	19	5	6	8	-6	21
14	Betis	18	6	3	9	-10	21
15	Valencia	18	5	4	9	-5	19
16	La Coruna	19	4	7	8	-5	19
17	Leganes	19	4	6	9	-16	18
18	Sp Gijon	18	3	3	12	-18	12
19	Granada	19	1	7	11	-26	10
20	Osasuna	19	1	6	12	-22	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Sevilla	9	8	0	1	+10	24
3	Celta	10	7	0	3	+3	21
4	Ath Madrid	9	6	2	1	+13	20
5	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+10	20
6	Las Palmas	10	5	5	0	+9	20
7	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+7	20
8	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+16	18
9	Malaga	9	5	2	2	+4	17
10	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+3	17
12	Betis	9	4	3	2	+0	15
13	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
14	Espanol	10	3	5	2	+2	14
15	Alaves	9	2	5	2	-1	11
16	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-7	10
17	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Granada	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	9	1	4	4	-6	7
20	Osasuna	10	0	3	7	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Sevilla	10	5	3	2	+7	18
3	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+15	17
4	Sociedad	9	5	0	4	+2	15
5	Ath Madrid	9	4	2	3	+5	14
6	Alaves	10	3	3	4	-2	12
7	Espanol	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Villarreal	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Leganes	10	3	2	5	-10	11
11	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Ath Bilbao	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Celta	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-10	6
15	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	La Coruna	10	0	5	5	-10	5
17	Las Palmas	9	1	2	6	-11	5
18	Malaga	10	0	4	6	-10	4
19	Granada	10	0	3	7	-22	3
20	Sp Gijon	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.