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Ligue 1
Referee: Tony Chapron
Dijon
U T S U T
1–4
Full-time
Monaco
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 10
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 17. · Monaco 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Angers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Nice 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Caen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Metz 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Monaco
3′
⚽ R. Falcao 0–1
K. Glik
25′
⚽ Jemerson 0–2
João Moutinho
37′
⚽ R. Falcao 0–3
A. Diakhaby
1–3 W. Saïd ⚽
R. Amalfitano
43′
Half-time 1–4
51′
⚽ R. Falcao 1–4
T. Lemar
O. Haddadi 🔁
↦ Á. Lang
54′
F. Chafik 🔁
↦ V. Rosier
56′
62′
🟨 João Moutinho
65′
🔁 Y. Tielemans
↦ Rony Lopes
66′
🟨 Djibril Sidibé
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ W. Saïd
72′
80′
🔁 G. Carrillo
↦ R. Falcao
83′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ A. Diakhaby
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Dijon

5-4-1
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
2 Á. Lang D
25 A. Bouka Moutou D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
10 N. Sliti M
9 W. Saïd F
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
Bench (7)
5 O. Haddadi
26 F. Chafik
7 F. Sammaritano
17 J. Benet
1 B. Leroy
15 F. Balmont
21 E. Massouema

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Monaco

4-4-2
1 D. Subašić G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
5 Jemerson D
6 Jorge D
8 João Moutinho M
27 T. Lemar M
20 Rony Lopes M
2 Fabinho M
9 R. Falcao F
15 A. Diakhaby F
Bench (7)
17 Y. Tielemans
11 G. Carrillo
31 Gil Dias
4 T. Kongolo
10 K. Mbappé
16 D. Benaglio
24 A. Raggi

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Tony Chapron · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.