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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Crotone
S S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Verona
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crotone 20. · Verona 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Torino 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Milan 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Roma 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Lazio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Genoa 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Sassuolo 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Benevento 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Verona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crotone Verona
36′
🟨 Marcel Büchel
Adrian Stoian 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Mohamed Fares
63′
🔁 G. Pazzini
↦ A. Cerci
O. Kragl 🔁
↦ A. Stoian
68′
73′
🔁 M. Valoti
↦ M. Fares
G. Crociata 🔁
↦ D. Faraoni
77′
78′
🔁 M. Zaccagni
↦ Marcel Büchel
S. Nwankwo 🔁
↦ M. Trotta
82′
90′
🟨 Mattia Zaccagni
90′
🟨 Daniel Bessa
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Crotone

4-4-2
1 A. Cordaz G
37 D. Faraoni D
44 L. Cabrera D
87 B. Martella D
93 Arlind Ajeti D
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 A. Stoian M
10 A. Barberis M
38 R. Mandragora M
17 A. Budimir F
29 M. Trotta F
Bench (9)
11 O. Kragl
89 G. Crociata
99 S. Nwankwo
3 M. Festa
14 C. Suljic
21 G. Cuomo
28 G. Borello
78 A. Viscovo
15 P. Giannotti

Coach: D. Nicola

Verona

4-3-3
1 Nicolas G
26 M. Cáceres D
69 S. Souprayen D
28 A. Ferrari D
93 M. Fares D
2 Rômulo M
5 B. Zuculini M
77 Marcel Büchel M
24 Daniel Bessa M
10 A. Cerci F
7 D. Verde F
Bench (12)
11 G. Pazzini
27 M. Valoti
20 M. Zaccagni
4 S. Laner
8 M. Fossati
12 A. Caracciolo
17 M. Silvestri
37 E. Bearzotti
40 F. Coppola
75 T. Heurtaux
97 G. Felicioli
98 S. Štefanec

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.