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Premier League

Referee: Craig Pawson

Liverpool

U S S U S

4–0

Full-time

Arsenal

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

18 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 3

3 Offside 5

6 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 8. · Arsenal 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Man City	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Watford	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Southampton	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Stoke	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Everton	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Swansea	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Brighton	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Bournemouth	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Crystal Palace	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Huddersfield	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Watford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Everton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Brighton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Leicester	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.