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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
West Brom
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Stoke
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 4. · Stoke 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Man City 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 West Brom 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Watford 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Southampton 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Everton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Swansea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 Tottenham 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Chelsea 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Newcastle 3 1 0 2 +0 3
15 Stoke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Leicester 3 1 0 2 -1 3
17 Brighton 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Bournemouth 3 0 0 3 -4 0
19 Crystal Palace 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 West Ham 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Stoke
33′
🟨 Erik Pieters
Half-time 0–0
Jay Rodriguez 🟨
52′
1–0 J. Rodriguez
A. Nyom
61′
62′
🔁 P. Crouch
↦ Jesé
69′
🔁 Ramadan Sobhi
↦ G. Cameron
C. Yacob 🔁
↦ J. Morrison
70′
J. McClean 🔁
↦ M. Phillips
74′
77′
P. Crouch 1–1
Salomón Rondón 🟨
84′
88′
🟨 Joe Allen
O. Burke 🔁
↦ J. Rodriguez
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 B. Foster G
2 A. Nyom D
25 C. Dawson D
26 Ahmed Hegazi D
18 G. Barry M
7 J. Morrison M
11 C. Brunt D
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
19 J. Rodriguez M
9 S. Rondón F
Bench (7)
5 C. Yacob
14 J. McClean
17 O. Burke
13 G. Myhill
22 N. Chadli
28 S. Field
49 K. Wilson

Coach: T. Pulis

Stoke

3-4-2-1
1 J. Butland G
3 E. Pieters M
17 R. Shawcross D
20 G. Cameron M
15 B. Martins Indi D
6 K. Zouma D
24 D. Fletcher M
4 J. Allen M
22 X. Shaqiri F
10 E. Choupo-Moting F
11 Jesé F
Bench (7)
25 P. Crouch
32 Ramadan Sobhi
8 G. Johnson
9 S. Berahino
16 C. Adam
27 Bojan
33 L. Grant

Coach: M. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.