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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Sp Braga

S T T S S

0–1

Full-time

Porto

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 20

0 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 9

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 6. · Porto 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Rio Ave	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Porto	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Feirense	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Estoril	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Tondela	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-7	4
12	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Boavista	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Chaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rio Ave	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-4	3
9	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.