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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Roda
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
3,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
23 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 5. · Roda 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Zwolle 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Utrecht 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Ajax 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 VVV Venlo 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Heracles 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Excelsior 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 2 1 -3 2
13 Groningen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 NAC Breda 3 0 1 2 -6 1
15 Roda 2 0 0 2 -4 0
16 Twente 3 0 0 3 -4 0
17 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 Willem II 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Roda
1–0 J. Locadia
M. van Ginkel
9′
2–0 H. Lozano
24′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 W. Ndenge
↦ M. El Makrini
55′
🟨 Frederic Ananou
57′
🔁 G. van Velzen
↦ M. Paulissen
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
65′
B. Ramselaar 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
65′
74′
🔁 C. Djim
↦ J. Vancamp
P. Rosario 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
3 D. Luckassen D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
32 K. Paal D
19 J. Locadia F
7 G. Pereiro M
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (11)
9 L. de Jong
23 B. Ramselaar
18 P. Rosario
13 E. Room
5 D. Schwaab
14 S. Lammers
16 D. Rigo
25 A. Maher
29 Albert Gudmundsson
30 J. de Wijs
31 Y. van Osch

Coach: P. Cocu

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 H. Jurjus G
4 C. Kum D
5 A. van Peppen D
20 D. Werker D
3 F. Ananou D
6 M. El Makrini M
15 O. Gnjatić M
19 M. Paulissen M
10 Simon Gustafson M
7 M. Rosheuvel M
18 J. Vancamp F
Bench (9)
13 W. Ndenge
11 G. van Velzen
21 C. Djim
2 H. Dijkhuizen
9 D. Schahin
14 M. Engels
16 F. Kurto
23 N. Rutjes
30 B. Derksen

Coach: R. Molenaar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.