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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Toulouse

T T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Bordeaux

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Bordeaux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

4,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-4,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 20. · Bordeaux 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Reims	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Rennes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Caen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Angers	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Caen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.