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Ligue 1
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Rennes
S U T U T
0–0
Full-time
Nice
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 39%
35%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
52%
19%
Both score Ø 44%
61%
26%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 11. · Nice 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 30 26 3 1 +71 81
2 Lille 31 18 7 6 +22 61
3 Lyon 32 16 8 8 +13 56
4 Marseille 32 15 6 11 +6 51
5 St Etienne 31 14 8 9 +8 50
6 Reims 32 11 15 6 +0 48
7 Nice 31 13 8 10 -6 47
8 Montpellier 31 11 12 8 +7 45
9 Strasbourg 32 10 14 8 +14 44
10 Nimes 32 12 7 13 +0 43
11 Rennes 31 11 9 11 +0 42
12 Angers 32 9 14 9 +1 41
13 Bordeaux 31 9 11 11 -1 38
14 Toulouse 31 8 11 12 -15 35
15 Nantes 31 9 7 15 -5 34
16 Monaco 32 7 11 14 -15 32
17 Amiens 32 8 8 16 -19 32
18 Dijon 32 6 7 19 -24 25
19 Guingamp 32 5 9 18 -34 24
20 Caen 32 4 11 17 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Nice
13′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ L. Diaby
Hamari Traore 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Tameze
↦ Danilo Barbosa
51′
🟨 Pierre Lees Melou
Edson Mexer 🟨
61′
I. Sarr 🔁
↦ M. Niang
63′
C. Grenier 🔁
↦ J. Johansson
69′
E. Camavinga 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
76′
79′
🔁 Y. Atal
↦ B. Srarfi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-1-1
40 T. Koubek G
3 D. Da Silva D
4 Mexer D
27 H. Traoré D
5 S. Doumbia D
18 H. Ben Arfa F
6 J. Johansson M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
23 A. Hunou F
11 M. Niang F
22 R. Del Castillo M
Bench (7)
7 I. Sarr
8 C. Grenier
39 E. Camavinga
26 J. Gelin
20 G. Nyamsi
19 A. Lauriente
16 A. Diallo

Coach: J. Stéphan

Nice

4-1-4-1
40 W. Benítez G
31 Dante D
29 C. Hérelle D
15 P. Burner D
23 M. Sarr D
6 R. Walter M
21 Danilo Barbosa M
7 A. Saint-Maximin F
8 P. Lees Melou M
11 B. Srarfi F
33 L. Diaby F
Bench (7)
14 I. Ganago
5 A. Tameze
20 Y. Atal
12 R. Coly
27 J. Makengo
28 O. Boscagli
16 Y. Clementia

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.