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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Brand
Wolfsburg
S U U T T
0–0
Full-time
Mainz
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
2,2
4,6
Scored
0,8
2,4
Conceded
1,4
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 13. · Mainz 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 +14 16
2 Hertha 6 4 1 1 +4 13
3 Dortmund 6 4 0 2 +10 12
4 FC Koln 6 3 3 0 +7 12
5 RB Leipzig 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 M'gladbach 5 3 1 1 +4 10
7 Leverkusen 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Hoffenheim 6 2 4 0 +2 10
9 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 +2 10
10 Freiburg 6 3 0 3 -2 9
11 Mainz 5 2 1 2 +1 7
12 Augsburg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Wolfsburg 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -8 5
15 Werder Bremen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 FC Ingolstadt 04 6 0 1 5 -9 1
17 Hamburg 6 0 1 5 -10 1
18 Schalke 04 5 0 0 5 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Mainz
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 D. Brosinski
↦ F. Frei
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
64′
Bruno Henrique 🔁
↦ J. Błaszczykowski
73′
73′
🔁 P. De Blasis
↦ L. Öztunali
Y. Gerhardt 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
78′
83′
🔁 S. Serdar
↦ Y. Mallı
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
28 K. Casteels G
15 C. Träsch M
34 R. Rodríguez D
5 J. Bruma D
31 R. Knoche D
14 J. Błaszczykowski M
7 D. Caligiuri M
27 M. Arnold M
10 J. Draxler M
30 P. Seguin D
33 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
25 J. Brekalo
16 Bruno Henrique
13 Y. Gerhardt
1 D. Benaglio
4 M. Schäfer
17 Borja Mayoral
21 J. Horn

Coach: D. Hecking

Mainz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lössl G
2 G. Donati D
16 S. Bell D
24 G. Bussmann D
42 A. Hack D
20 F. Frei M
10 Y. Mallı M
25 J. Gbamin M
8 L. Öztunali F
21 K. Onisiwo F
15 J. Córdoba F
Bench (7)
18 D. Brosinski
32 P. De Blasis
45 S. Serdar
26 N. Bungert
27 C. Clemens
33 J. Huth
38 G. Holtmann

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benjamin Brand · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.