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Eredivisie

Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer

Twente

T U T T S

3–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 13. · Sparta Rotterdam 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Nijmegen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Heracles	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Roda	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Twente	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roda	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Nijmegen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.