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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Groningen

S U S U U

1–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 23%

26%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

47%

65%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 11. · Excelsior 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	20	16	3	1	+42	51
2	Ajax	20	14	4	2	+28	46
3	PSV Eindhoven	21	13	7	1	+23	46
4	Vitesse	21	9	6	6	+7	33
5	Heerenveen	19	9	5	5	+13	32
6	Utrecht	18	8	6	4	+6	30
7	Twente	20	8	6	6	+3	30
8	AZ Alkmaar	19	7	8	4	+6	29
9	Nijmegen	21	6	7	8	-12	25
10	Heracles	21	6	6	9	-7	24
11	Groningen	19	5	7	7	-1	22
12	Willem II	21	5	7	9	-10	22
13	Sparta Rotterdam	20	4	6	10	-9	18
14	Excelsior	20	4	5	11	-15	17
15	Den Haag	21	5	2	14	-21	17
16	Zwolle	20	4	5	11	-23	17
17	Roda	20	2	10	8	-13	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	21	4	4	13	-17	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	11	9	2	0	+27	29
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+16	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Heerenveen	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Twente	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Nijmegen	11	4	4	3	+1	16
8	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	5	2	+2	14
9	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Heracles	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Go Ahead Eagles	10	3	1	6	-5	10
15	Groningen	9	2	4	3	-6	10
16	Den Haag	10	3	1	6	-6	10
17	Zwolle	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Roda	10	1	5	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	4	0	+16	25
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
4	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+4	16
5	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	+6	14
8	Groningen	10	3	3	4	+5	12
9	Twente	10	3	3	4	-3	12
10	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-8	10
11	Willem II	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-13	9
13	Zwolle	9	2	2	5	-10	8
14	Roda	10	1	5	4	-10	8
15	Den Haag	11	2	1	8	-15	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Go Ahead Eagles	11	1	3	7	-12	6
18	Excelsior	10	1	2	7	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.