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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Atalanta

U S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 52%

62%

42%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

58%

69%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

62%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 4. · Fiorentina 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	26	22	0	4	+38	66
2	Roma	27	19	2	6	+33	59
3	Napoli	27	17	6	4	+32	57
4	Atalanta	26	16	3	7	+16	51
5	Lazio	26	15	5	6	+16	50
6	Milan	27	15	5	7	+10	50
7	Inter	26	15	3	8	+14	48
8	Fiorentina	26	11	8	7	+7	41
9	Sampdoria	27	10	8	9	+1	38
10	Torino	26	9	9	8	+6	36
11	Chievo	27	10	5	12	-8	35
12	Cagliari	26	9	4	13	-17	31
13	Sassuolo	26	9	3	14	-7	30
14	Udinese	26	8	5	13	-7	29
15	Bologna	26	7	7	12	-15	28
16	Genoa	26	6	8	12	-13	26
17	Empoli	26	5	7	14	-22	22
18	Palermo	26	3	6	17	-28	15
19	Crotone	26	3	4	19	-24	13
20	Pescara	27	2	6	19	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	14	0	0	+29	42
2	Roma	13	12	0	1	+27	36
3	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+14	30
4	Inter	13	9	2	2	+16	29
5	Lazio	14	9	2	3	+12	29
6	Milan	14	9	2	3	+8	29
7	Sampdoria	14	8	4	2	+9	28
8	Atalanta	12	9	0	3	+8	27
9	Torino	12	7	4	1	+13	25
10	Fiorentina	13	6	7	0	+8	25
11	Cagliari	12	7	2	3	+2	23
12	Chievo	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	Genoa	13	4	6	3	+5	18
14	Udinese	13	5	2	6	+0	17
15	Bologna	13	5	2	6	-4	17
16	Sassuolo	13	5	1	7	-4	16
17	Empoli	13	4	3	6	-9	15
18	Crotone	13	3	2	8	-7	11
19	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-13	7
20	Palermo	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	8	3	2	+18	27
2	Juventus	12	8	0	4	+9	24
3	Atalanta	14	7	3	4	+8	24
4	Roma	14	7	2	5	+6	23
5	Lazio	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	Milan	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Inter	13	6	1	6	-2	19
8	Fiorentina	13	5	1	7	-1	16
9	Chievo	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Sassuolo	13	4	2	7	-3	14
11	Udinese	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	Torino	14	2	5	7	-7	11
13	Bologna	13	2	5	6	-11	11
14	Sampdoria	13	2	4	7	-8	10
15	Palermo	13	2	4	7	-12	10
16	Genoa	13	2	2	9	-18	8
17	Cagliari	14	2	2	10	-19	8
18	Empoli	13	1	4	8	-13	7
19	Pescara	14	1	2	11	-19	5
20	Crotone	13	0	2	11	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.