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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Oliveira
0–0
Full-time
Tondela
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 20%
26%
13%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 24
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 14. · Tondela 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 24 19 3 2 +39 60
2 Porto 24 18 5 1 +42 59
3 Sp Lisbon 23 14 5 4 +18 47
4 Sp Braga 24 12 6 6 +15 42
5 Guimaraes 23 11 6 6 +6 39
6 Maritimo 23 9 7 7 +2 34
7 Chaves 23 7 11 5 +2 32
8 Vitoria Setubal 23 8 6 9 +0 30
9 Boavista 24 7 9 8 -1 30
10 Rio Ave 23 8 5 10 -4 29
11 Belenenses 23 7 8 8 -4 29
12 Arouca 24 8 3 13 -12 27
13 Feirense 24 7 5 12 -18 26
14 Pacos Ferreira 23 6 6 11 -11 24
15 Estoril 23 5 5 13 -12 20
16 Moreirense 24 5 5 14 -15 20
17 Nacional 24 3 7 14 -24 16
18 Tondela 23 3 6 14 -23 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Tondela
Half-time 0–0
Ivo Rodrigues 🔁
↦ B. Osei
46′
João Góis 🟨
48′
59′
🔁 Amido Baldé
↦ Eli
64′
🟨 Wagner
Welthon 🟨
66′
73′
🔁 Fernando Ferreira
↦ Wagner
Valente 🔁
↦ Diego Luiz
77′
78′
🟨 Claude Goncalves
80′
🟨 Kaká
Andrézinho 🔁
↦ Pedrinho Moreira
86′
87′
🔁 Murilo
↦ Miguel Cardoso
Vasco Rocha 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
1 Rafael Defendi G
2 Marco Baixinho D
14 Gêgê D
30 Filipe Ferreira D
13 João Góis D
26 Filipe Melo M
12 Pedrinho Moreira M
29 Vasco M
7 Welthon F
11 Diego Luiz M
16 B. Osei F
Bench (7)
23 Ivo Rodrigues
91 Valente
20 Andrézinho
3 Pedro Monteiro
8 Christian
28 Luiz Phellype
86 Mário Felgueiras

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Tondela

4-4-2
1 Cláudio Ramos G
4 Kaká D
22 David Bruno D
13 Jaílson D
7 Claude Gonçalves M
8 Hélder Tavares M
28 Wagner F
99 Eli F
15 J. Murillo F
11 Miguel Cardoso M
24 Y. Osorio D
Bench (7)
18 Amido Baldé
14 Fernando Ferreira
77 Murilo
3 Pica
9 Batista
12 Ricardo Janota
20 Pité

Coach: Pepa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rui Oliveira · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.