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La Liga

Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo

Ath Bilbao

T S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Malaga

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

44%

24%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

60%

56%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

68%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Malaga 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	26	18	6	2	+55	60
2	Real Madrid	25	18	5	2	+41	59
3	Sevilla	25	17	4	4	+20	55
4	Ath Madrid	26	14	7	5	+26	49
5	Sociedad	26	15	3	8	+6	48
6	Villarreal	26	12	9	5	+19	45
7	Eibar	26	11	6	9	+5	39
8	Ath Bilbao	25	11	5	9	+1	38
9	Espanol	26	9	9	8	+0	36
10	Celta	25	10	5	10	-5	35
11	Alaves	25	8	9	8	-6	33
12	Las Palmas	26	8	8	10	-1	32
13	Valencia	26	8	5	13	-11	29
14	Betis	25	7	6	12	-14	27
15	Malaga	25	6	8	11	-10	26
16	Leganes	26	6	6	14	-19	24
17	La Coruna	25	5	8	12	-12	23
18	Granada	26	4	7	15	-30	19
19	Sp Gijon	26	4	5	17	-28	17
20	Osasuna	26	1	7	18	-37	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	10	3	0	+21	33
2	Sevilla	12	10	1	1	+13	31
3	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+30	30
4	Ath Bilbao	13	9	3	1	+11	30
5	Ath Madrid	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Villarreal	14	8	3	3	+13	27
7	Las Palmas	14	7	5	2	+12	26
8	Eibar	14	8	2	4	+6	26
9	Celta	12	8	1	3	+6	25
10	Sociedad	13	7	3	3	+4	24
11	Espanol	13	5	5	3	+6	20
12	Malaga	12	6	2	4	+3	20
13	Betis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
14	Valencia	12	5	2	5	-4	17
15	Granada	12	4	4	4	+1	16
16	La Coruna	11	4	3	4	+4	15
17	Alaves	12	3	6	3	-6	15
18	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-5	13
19	Sp Gijon	13	3	2	8	-13	11
20	Osasuna	13	0	4	9	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+25	30
2	Real Madrid	12	8	2	2	+20	26
3	Sevilla	13	7	3	3	+7	24
4	Sociedad	13	8	0	5	+2	24
5	Ath Madrid	13	5	5	3	+8	20
6	Villarreal	12	4	6	2	+6	18
7	Alaves	13	5	3	5	+0	18
8	Espanol	13	4	4	5	-6	16
9	Eibar	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-7	12
11	Leganes	13	3	2	8	-14	11
12	Celta	13	2	4	7	-11	10
13	Betis	11	3	0	8	-12	9
14	Ath Bilbao	12	2	2	8	-10	8
15	La Coruna	14	1	5	8	-16	8
16	Las Palmas	12	1	3	8	-13	6
17	Malaga	13	0	6	7	-13	6
18	Sp Gijon	13	1	3	9	-15	6
19	Osasuna	13	1	3	9	-20	6
20	Granada	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.